Pre-tourney Rankings
Weber St.
Big Sky
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.4#171
Expected Predictive Rating-1.4#185
Pace63.8#278
Improvement+1.4#113

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#146
Improvement+1.8#88

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#212
Improvement-0.4#200
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 15.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.7% n/a n/a
First Round99.3% n/a n/a
Second Round3.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 47   @ BYU L 72-81 11%     0 - 1 +4.0 -2.1 +6.9
  Nov 16, 2013 132   @ Colorado St. L 67-88 29%     0 - 2 -15.8 -5.6 -10.2
  Nov 26, 2013 118   Utah St. L 71-77 46%     0 - 3 -5.4 +1.1 -6.8
  Nov 30, 2013 284   San Jose St. W 72-55 82%     1 - 3 +6.8 +8.3 +0.9
  Dec 11, 2013 200   @ Utah Valley L 59-62 46%     1 - 4 -2.4 -7.6 +4.9
  Dec 22, 2013 11   @ UCLA L 60-83 5%     1 - 5 -4.2 -6.2 +2.5
  Jan 02, 2014 228   Eastern Washington W 74-67 73%     2 - 5 1 - 0 +0.2 -2.0 +2.5
  Jan 04, 2014 265   Portland St. W 79-62 78%     3 - 5 2 - 0 +8.5 +3.3 +5.8
  Jan 09, 2014 218   @ Northern Colorado L 51-70 50%     3 - 6 2 - 1 -19.4 -13.5 -10.8
  Jan 11, 2014 255   @ North Dakota W 72-60 57%     4 - 6 3 - 1 +9.8 -1.2 +11.6
  Jan 18, 2014 347   Southern Utah W 65-59 95%     5 - 6 4 - 1 -13.3 -4.9 -7.4
  Jan 20, 2014 254   Idaho St. W 65-59 76%     6 - 6 5 - 1 -1.7 -0.7 +0.2
  Jan 23, 2014 294   Montana St. W 86-57 85%     7 - 6 6 - 1 +17.6 +13.9 +5.3
  Jan 25, 2014 219   Montana W 68-63 71%     8 - 6 7 - 1 -1.0 -4.0 +3.5
  Jan 30, 2014 256   @ Northern Arizona W 76-67 57%     9 - 6 8 - 1 +6.7 +0.1 +6.4
  Feb 01, 2014 267   @ Sacramento St. L 75-78 OT 60%     9 - 7 8 - 2 -6.0 -3.0 -2.9
  Feb 06, 2014 255   North Dakota W 84-72 76%     10 - 7 9 - 2 +4.3 -1.2 +4.6
  Feb 08, 2014 218   Northern Colorado W 79-65 71%     11 - 7 10 - 2 +8.0 +5.5 +3.7
  Feb 13, 2014 347   @ Southern Utah W 75-55 89%     12 - 7 11 - 2 +6.3 +3.2 +4.5
  Feb 17, 2014 254   @ Idaho St. L 75-78 OT 57%     12 - 8 11 - 3 -5.1 +2.5 -7.7
  Feb 20, 2014 219   @ Montana L 57-68 50%     12 - 9 11 - 4 -11.4 +2.0 -17.5
  Feb 22, 2014 294   @ Montana St. W 86-68 70%     13 - 9 12 - 4 +12.2 +13.0 -0.6
  Feb 27, 2014 267   Sacramento St. W 79-67 78%     14 - 9 13 - 4 +3.5 +4.3 -0.1
  Mar 01, 2014 256   Northern Arizona L 71-73 OT 76%     14 - 10 13 - 5 -9.9 -1.7 -8.2
  Mar 06, 2014 265   @ Portland St. L 59-66 60%     14 - 11 13 - 6 -9.9 -16.6 +6.6
  Mar 08, 2014 228   @ Eastern Washington W 82-78 53%     15 - 11 14 - 6 +2.8 +3.8 -1.1
  Mar 14, 2014 218   Northern Colorado W 66-63 OT 71%     16 - 11 -3.0 -4.4 +1.9
  Mar 15, 2014 255   North Dakota W 88-67 67%     17 - 11 +16.0 +17.9 +0.0
Projected Record 17.0 - 11.0 14.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 15.4 0.0 64.0 36.0
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 64.0 36.0